Cash: $ $
Best Win Bet: $10 on Grantland in the 10th
Best Longshot Win Bet: $10 on I Wanna Be Geared in the 2nd
Best Place Bet:$10 on Dont Rush in the 5th
Best Show Bet: $10 on Muscle Up The Goal in the 7th
Worst Win Bet: $10 on Intended Style in the 2nd
NS--- no shot
WATCH---watching for a future play
Card data notes:
Jmac no wins last 3 cards.
20-1 shot very due for this card.
40-1 somewhat due to hit
Probable Favorite: MY WAY THE HIGHWAY
WINDSUN MADISON picks up Lasix on the move here from KD. Durham has done well before when he starts them out there and then brings them here while they are still in the midst of becoming whatever they can be. You get a decent price for that risk tonight, and Randy bagged 3 last night, so he is hot. He is a streak driver. Top call.
CALIFORNIA RACHEL was tossed in prematurely with stakes fillies last time and went about the mile you would expect from her. She is a longshot tonight for sure, but she has the breeding to step up and she gets just a little better ever time. She might take 5 races to come around to winning form, or she might pop tonight at 20-1 plus. Your call. I'd use her. These types shock you all the time.
MY WAY THE HIGHWAY didn't get it done last time as the heavy chalk, and was struggling in the lane to go forward. I'm sure she is the chalk again, and while I think she has a shot and should make the ticket, I'm not sold she goes all the way, whatever trip Roger decides is the right trip. He takes his time with these, and I expect no different here. So far, she trots clean the entire mile and has some speed. That counts for something here, but not for taking the short price.
MY WAY THE HIGHWAY see above.
MYLITTLESTARSHINE---seems to be coming along, and closed a fast last quarter last time. But for me, she continues to hang when she is put in position in the lane, and she now is likely to draw short tote money. I will watch her again, but for now, she is a no play for me. She might be the type, like Lady Ping, who puts it together but finishes 2nd a lot and then wins at even money or less when she finds the soft field.
AUNT LOTTIE---seemed to be home free last time but started to get wobbly then interferred right before she ran. Walker is a top trotting man. I'm sure he can correct whatever the issue was, however, I want to see one race clean at speed to make sure she just doesn't have issues that surface when she goes fast and gets tired, which he cannot do anything about. Watching.
TORTOLA SUNRISE---left hard last time, got hung, found a seat, then shuffled and finally ran. There aren't many horses Per drives I can back, and this isn't one that I can. I will keep waiting for a big price or a new driver and an appropriate price then.
HILLBILLY KING---B track horse going for a driver that never wins at this track and his last quarters are suspect among his overall times which wont cut it here. Pass.
THE SPRINTER---got around last time, but that is about all you can say. Ben B doesn't solve them all, and at this point, he isn't making headway on this one. I will watch, but it doesn't look promising.
LMC MASS OAK---trotted a strong mile at Georgian, but has jumped it off several times in the past, including last time. Like most Muscle Mass's, he might need the hopples to help him out. Longshot chance if he can stay trotting, but that is pretty risky based on what I see.
Probable Favorite: INTENDED STYLE
I WANNA BE GEARED draws better and drops here. He shows good leaving ability at London when he has a decent post, and he has finished well here several times. This is Bodz type of horse, and I will give him top call in a weak group. I'm looking for 9-2 here to make him viable.
CASIMIR LOW GEAR went a big trip with a monster 3rd quarter move to whip them at Georgian. He is classified right again and Fillion chose him over another that he drives some good ones for that trainer. I like his chances, but I'd need at least 4-1 to put him in my mix.
HOLLYWOOD HAM is another getting realistic tonight. Back in for 8, where he has a legit longshot chance if a lot of things go his way. He gets Jody, who is likely to race him hard. Will that work out for him? I don't know. He generally takes the easy trip and tries to pick up shares. I'd need 15-1 to even consider him, but at that price, he is playable in this less than stellar bunch. I'm sure Jody suggested that he needs to drop. It's not like that wasn't obvious to anybody who can read the program. Sometimes the trainer needs to hear it from the driver.
INTENDED STYLE seems to be chewed up. He takes a lower tag this week, but the highest tag of the group, which lands him outside. He was being chased a long way last time and didn't reach when he should have against a noted front ender who stops. He stopped badly the time before. Handwriting on the wall time for me. He was so good for quite a while, but he was a 5 claimer before that. They get good, they get really good, and then they revert. That is what I expect here.
P L GYRO---ran at the start last time and never recovered. He goes back in for 8 now, which is where he was claimed and where he has a legit shot to get a piece. He wasn't winning much then either, and I see him as 3rd or 4th if he gets away clean and has some flow to get in.
VAL AMERICA---gets the 15-1 ML, which is stupid anyway. He was claimed back by Larocque , and he has done good with him before. That last line with him training is on the page. His form is suspect, and Fillion took another over him, so that tells you what he thinks. I can't use him, but I expect him to be in the 5-1 range, which creates a bit more value on the ones I do favor here.
SPEED RACER ---drops in for 8, and that is Cirasoula's theory, which is fairly valid. If they wont due for a higher tag, and you can't find anything to fix or juice, just keep dropping them until they find a level. I think 5 is the more likely home he finds, at Northville or Hoosier, and I wont touch him here. There are some fairly decent 8's here, and he doesn't strike me as one of them.
LITTLE QUICK---fluked off a perfect trip to bomb away the tote board, but otherwise he is a bit player most nights. He could get that trip here and do it again. I'd use him in any exotic I played, but as an outright win play, I'd avoid him. He is hard to like and finds ways to get beat, as the drivers know he is very trip dependent and needy. That makes him hard to go to.
PANEDICTINE---swooped some terrible rats at Sarnia. As a rule, I don't go near anything that needs to go to Sarnia to get it done. I like several in here ahead of him. Might make the bottom of the super off the right trip. In the past, he hasn't been a very brave type at London.
Probable Favorite: JENALEAH
A SHOCKER wasn't terribly impressive last time, but did get around and took some time off. This is a less than stellar bunch, and it could be one of many, including him.
BON APPETIT has become more steady since the addition of trotting hopples and now after a few test drives at Kawartha, he heads to the big track and picks up Condren. Big price tonight, but he wouldn't shock me and I could see him lighting up the tote board.
AUGUSTUS MCCREA continues to improve for his owner/trainer/driver and breeder who continues to steer him. 9 hole plus that driver is an issue, but for the right price, he is tossed onto the pick 4 ticket with several in here to start off the pick 4 with a price.
JENALEAH kept at it last time, but she has a lot of issues and with Drury in the penalty box tonight, Jody takes over and that will drive the price down. I will take that action. She could easily be a runner before the start or the half. Consistency is not her friend at this point.
MARKET STRIKE went to Georgian twice to beat up on green maidens. Mission accomplished. Back here, she still tows Eddie Green around, and is likely to get an aggressive steer and bad trip, at pretty short odds. Action accepted.
MONOPOLY BLUE CHIP---well bred, but 0 for 8 and gets worse every time. Can't see any way he is in the mix for the ticket.
WINDSONG LUXURY---0 for 17 and counting, getting beat at the B's and shows no sign of being in the top tier of this group.
WARRAWEE QUINCE---this race is filled with hard to like longshots. He looks like the worst of that bunch. Bad form, breaks all over the page, limited speed, and a proven loser against professional losers.
SUPERBOWL SUNSHINE ---0 for 18 but showing small signs that he is putting it together. I will pay closer attention tonight to watch for him as a potential bet in his next two starts. Not tonight for me.
FEDERAL LADY---found a very soft bunch in her OSS tilt last time, and she managed to beat enough of them to get 4th. She was no threat to the top 2, and she is still a green maiden facing some who have shown better than her. Pass.
Probable Favorite:ANISTON SEELSTER
ANISTON SEELSTER looked solid last time in her return to the races at 3. She is an impressive filly to watch perform, and she might have the talent to back that up. I would want a bit of a price, no less than 2-1, and more towards 3-1. I'm not sure what to expect on Black Widow Baby, so the price will be a mystery until close to post time. Legit shot, but no cinch.
BLACK QUEEN was very racy last time, but Jody had no choice but to sit, then didn't get out in time and she finished evenly. She is showing signs she is ready to get it done with these. I'd use her for sure in the pick 4 tonight, and she wouldn't shock me at a decent price.
TAILWIND HANOVER paced a big back half last time, but she was never close enough to make use of that. The rail should change that here, and she is about ready to get it done. If not for my top choice in here, who looks pretty live, she might have been my top choice.
BLACK WIDOW BABY raced okay last time, but was not worthy of the short price she brought. I see the same scenario playing out again, and she has a few to beat off this time. Action will be taken on all those factors.
FIESTYS LEGACY---makes her first lifetime start after 2 qualifiers. I would think she needs at least one to get up to speed with these. 53 might take this race and I doubt she can go much under 54 , if that, at first asking. Watching.
WISHES FOR YOU ---0 for 21 for a very low percentage trainer against many who look far better than her. Better off at Hanover.
OOH SHESA BADLANDS---seems to be improving, and I'm watching for a future score. But, for tonight, I like several better than her. She has very nice gate speed, and eventually a race will set up for her to do something with that.
TWIN B SWEETHEART---simply doesn't perform well enough at this track. If she were to travel to KD or Georgian, in the right field, she could be a play at a price.
DONT RUSH gets CC tonight, the money is on the line and he has progressed slowly. I see him being raced hard tonight, and the price should be right. Top call, but he has not thrilled me so far. Some risk attached.
CAULFIELD seems to be coming along, and has a shot here. Needs a trip.
BOLI Keeps getting better each time, and this is another test. I like my top 2 better.
SHOW BIZ HALL plays with the big boys tonight, and I'm not sold he is of that quality. A try at the Grassroots types might have been more suitable.
COVERT OPERATIVE ---has not been good lately and hung in the Goodtimes. Pass for me.
SETANTA---sharp now, but meets much tougher now. I don't see him up to this level.
ETERNAL QUEST---in with the tough bunch now. I think he is over his head with these.
GRONK---looked awful last time as Jody babied him to keep trotting. That wont even close to cut it here and he appears miles over his head with many of these.
WIN THE DAY---looks to be more of a Grassroots type to me. Can't see him hitting the ticket with many of these.
PLATOON SEELSTER ---draws post 10, and picks up Holliday. No thanks tonight.
ALACRITY---post 11, the trailer, and Green at the helm. He is suspect with these to begin with and that was enough for me to exclude him.
Probable Favorite: SOUTHWIND MAYHEM
BLAISE MM HANOVER
WINDSUN FALLS ---
MR MACH JIMMY ---
TWIN B MACHNIVEN ---
KOKANEE SEELSTER ---
DREAMFAIR HUGHIE ---
GERRIES SPORT ---
Probable Favorite: RUBBER DUCK
MUSCLE UP THE GOAL puts on the trotting hopples, as most Muscle Mass foals need them eventually. He has a ton of speed when he is in high gear, and maybe he can be driven full out now with those on.
LUCK O THE IRISH ---
OLYMPIC SON ---
ONE DIRECTION ---first time lasix.
RAISING RICHARD ---
WINNING WIZARD ---
MADMAN HALL ---
IN SECRET ---
BIG TIME ROCKS
FOREGO THE CIGAR ---
SAULSBROOK PEACH ---
ADVERSARY SEELSTER ---
BEACH HERO ---
SWEET COLT OF MINE ---
MACH IT BIG ---
Probable Favorite: BROADWAY PRINCE
BROADWAY PRINCE gets Jody and last was good.
CREAMPUFF MACDADDY removes Lasix
PRETTY BOY ---
SEVERUS HANOVER ---
POWER MOVE ---
Probable Favorite: GRANTLAND
R U MACHIN ME
MULLET BLUE CHIP
VEGILANTE HANOVER ---0 for 14 and not that dangerous at KD. Will have to be seen, but so far, he doesn't look like much. But then, many of these don't.
MACH ON THE BEACH ---
UNIX HANOVER ---minor shot with a better post and a decent mile 2 back. Murray must be respected when he brings them to WEG.
CAJON LIGHTNING ---
REAL RAYE ---
BETTOR BET ON ME ---