1 Intended Style righted the ship last
time. He just seems to turn it around when he hits rock bottom. Post 1
is a tough sell at this track, but I wouldn't toss him with this soft
bunch. Not likely my choice though. The bias is clear. If he could get a
2nd over tow like last time, he has a shot.
2 Every Day takes
the more realistic approach tonight and finds a claimer. In for 8k would
have been better in my view. I like others.
3 Gunpowder closed
with the pack last time, and had pace, but didn't do enough. He remains a
bit player. One of these weeks he will pop off on these. He is another
who would probably be well off to drop to the bottom where he can pick
4 Warrawee Phoenix is remembered on this circuit as a
hanger and one who cannot be used more than once in the mile. The
Maritimes was a good place for him to ply his trade, but he is back on
the scene now for Galucci. He wont see my money. I tried him a few times
with Waxman and even his gas couldn't help this one. He is 6 weeks off
and adds lasix. I doubt that helps him. He is just NFG and not much
stock. It happens.
5 Cundalini tried to wire them up last week
with a blast move but he gave it up in the lane. I maintain I think he
is a better 8 than this level. Mcnair takes over and I guess that is an
upgrade, but I'm not sure it helps. I would think it would if he could
get him out fast and then take a seat and follow the entire way. He is
possible, but unlikely.
6 Outlaw Gunpowder was claimed by Moreau
and he puts him right back in for 10. I'd think Cullen will take him
back and Moreau will gas him up and have him sent. He looks like a short
price and a likely winner. I will note the Fillion/Moreau express has
been derailed of late, not steaming down the track with the horn
7 Stimulus Spending moved late but wasn't dangerous. I like others. So did JJ, he took the 8.
Never Been Told met his match in the tougher field last time and now
moves back down, but takes the high tag. I think his good form has run
its course. I will likely go to others. Front end mission types find it
hard to sustain that over an entire month or two. Especially at the big
track. He has been charted broken equipment two weeks in a row. Not sure
that that is about but you'd hope Montini would get his act together.
No Phil tonight, so JJ takes over.
9 Velocity Headlight draws
poorly again because he takes the high tag. I simply don't get that
strategy for a horse that was on a line bad last week and has virtually
no chance to be claimed for 8 on his form and history.
Toy Is Ours took 3 tries to get back to racing for a purse. That made 4
races in a row he made a break. That is not good. He also adds lasix. I
cannot see this one. Bad claim, and I think Carmen will bail and take
the loss on this one soon. Can't get them all right.
2 Toga Town
looked lame to me in his start before last, and couldn't even make the
gate last time. I can't see him being dangerous as is.
Moonbeam Hall returns with a win 2 back and a bad post in his last where
he was probably over his head anyway. He will have to be seen. I cut
some slack to him because I respect Ben B's ability to tinker with one
like this. However, he has had him a long time and not much has changed.
If he looks like he always does, I will pass.
4 Top Dollar made
a break last time and was never in it at London. Per will drive him
tonight, as he has before. I would guess this is some sort of test, test
drive mission at this track to see if he is both viable and better over
the track, and if some Per magic tinkering is needed. He is not
impossible with this bunch, especially if the 8 blows up and isn't
5 Most Wanted Lindy is 0 for 32 the last two years and
seems a cheque getting bit player type who doesn't have the gusto in
the stretch to get more at this age. Going to Flamboro didn't help him
6 Blush and Crush has a license to be very dangerous
here. She made a blast move to the top last time and held off all but
one who has been a winning machine of late, and this year. Post 6 favors
her if she parades sound. She doesn't always do that. Assuming she
does, she is a must use in the pick 5. You wont get the boxcar price she
brought last week. That ship has sailed.
7 Chievous Cole has
looked terribly lame in the starts I've seen him at this track lately.
He went to London, and after one try at the Preferred. dove his tag down
and was claimed off an easy win. He will have to be seen. I would be
hard pressed to back him unless he looks better. He very likely wont
make the gate on stride. He needed a month off between starts last time.
That indicates an issue he has. You don't keep horses who can win races
out of the box unless you have to.
8 Cracker Zack didn't perform
for Ryan, and Johnson took him back. He will have to be seen. If he
looks okay, he has a shot to take down the 10 or 6, the only two who
look dangerous to me.
9 Girl Drama goes back to the only trainer
who seems to be able to keep her together. He ups the tag slightly here,
and gets the 9 hole, which probably doesn't matter as she sits way back
either way. I don't think she can pick all of these up and probably
gets 3rd or 4th coming late...to late.
10 Dirty Secret comes in
with 5 straight, the last 3 for Joe C, and she takes the high tag and
gets the 10 hole for her trouble. Because so many of these look like
they will run off the gate, or be held together and not go much, I could
be persuaded to ignore the 10 post here and think this one almost clears
before the turn, or makes front by the turn down the backside, and takes
them all the way. Much of that depends on what the 8 does. I dont think
the missed time is an issue. She has probably been trained hard in
between and tuned up.
1 Intimidate dodges the best
ones this time, and while he could be one of those again, at this
stage, they are too much for him. I'm not fond of the rail at this
track, and I'd probably go against this one here starting from it. He is
likely to bring a short price. I will play against it, and him.
Olympic Son couldn't have gotten a better trip last week, but he was
no match for the winner, who sailed right by him. He meets him again,
and others who look viable. I will go elsewhere. I think this level is
too tough for him of late.
3 Cash for Gold was put on the front
last week, and we see why that rarely happens. He was a borderline
runaway and was spent as they turned for home. He looked good doing it
though until he was winded. He is likely to get away mid pack this time,
and gets a new driver. I could go back to him if the price is right,
which it is likely to be.
4 Charlie Is a Joker had no shot his
last two with those posts, but hasn't been very good either way. He will
drop his bottom line here and make a big attempt at the bottom or close
to it next time. Pass for me, and Mario, who took the other stable
5 Abc Muscles Boy was forced to try the best on the
circuit, and he is overmatched with those based on his Pocono lines.
These are more reasonable, but still a stretch. He is a player, but I'm
on the fence on him.
6 Wild and Crazy Guy righted the ship on the
class drop last week, and blew by them like they were tied to a pole.
He seems very variable week to week and always has been. I will take a
price on others and think he is maybe 2nd or 3rd here, but not the
7 Stan the Man didn't get a good start from the rail
last week, and that did him in when he had to pull first up. He isn't
the bravest type when he doesn't have control. This field is a bit too
deep for me to think he will take them down with that driver.
Etruscan Hanover looked off parading last time and jumped it off. He can
get like that. He will have to be seen parading. I'm inclined to wait
on him either way.
9 Fearless Man is 3rd back off the shelf and
gets some class relief, but the toughest post. That makes this race
interesting. The bias of this post and his style works against him
finishing them off if he tries to control it.
Alexas Hope put in steps multiple times in the mile last time, but Randy
got her around and she got up for 3rd. I will go elsewhere this week.
She doesn't do enough.
2 Moremunkybusiness takes the lower tag
and draws a better post this time. That puts her in play. I can give her
a pass for starting poorly and having no shot to win last week. I can't
give her a pass for not passing the rats and getting a small slice.
Watt a Funny Face comes back to the class where she is 2 for 2 and is
likely to blast and try to wire them again. Mcnair this time. She is 9-1
ML? Who sits on her back here and can take her if she is tired from all
the blasting? That is probably the winner.
4 Tigra Seelster
blasted out from the 6 hole as the favorite last week, but could only
get away 4th, as there were some speed demons to deal with. She latched
on to live 2nd over cover and should have won off that trip, but
couldn't reach the winner, who moved up and did well in that attempt.
She appears very sharp and if she can gain the 2 hole on the 3's back,
has a legit shot to get home first.
5 Darktwistedfantasy doesn't
seem to have what it takes lately to go with them in the lane. She was
really good earlier in the year, and might come back around. I will go
to others in this spot. She is dangerous with her connections history of
turning this type without warning. I will play against that happening
6 Shes a Maniac has been flat two weeks in a row, but
she had the rail both starts. I can cut her some slack with that
potential variable in play. With post 6, she is reasonable, but still a
stretch. I'd probably use her in the pick 5.
7 Fire Watch got up
for 3rd last week, and almost 2nd, but she seems to do that without
threatening the winner every week. I'd think she is 3rd or 4th again
8 Donna Party got tortured and hung out last time from post
10, and also didn't look pretty trying it. She takes a slightly lower
tag and draws a bit better, but she has the same speed merchant to deal
with inside of her. Another day, if she looks better doing it here, I
might go back to her. She would need a speed battle in front of her, and
to lay off it herself, which is what I said last time, and she didn't
do that then either.
9 Pretty Hot met some tough customers her
last two at Flamboro and was overmatched. She went a monster trip to win
the start before that, and comes back tagged, but takes the high tag
and gets the 9 hole for that protection. Randy sticks with Galucci. I
will pass here on the tough start angle. Another who might prove me
wrong if they battle and she lays off.
10 One Last Bono takes
the high tag as she returns to claimers. As she seems to need to lead, I
cant see how this trip works out for her and she has something left
1 Arrived Late draws better here, but at
best I think he needs to hit bottom to have a shot. Even then, I'm
unlikely to back him. He has never been good at this track facing horses
that finish with more gusto than he does. He seems to be able to go as
fast at Flamboro as he does here.
2 Next Thing Smoken was racing
Open paces at Hoosier in late September and doing well. They are
generally a tough bunch there, and he tried the top ones here, but
couldn't go with them. He has tailed off since then, but gets in with a
weak bunch here, relative to what he is capable of. I will list him to
get beat, and take another on top, but he is certainly possible.
Darcee N paced a decent mile last time to one who moved up and jogged,
and another who moved up and won in a gritty manner, both on Saturday
night. He doesn't start well, but at the right level, he can pass the
right ones. There isn't much to like outside of him. I will take him on
top, with the caveat that I need close to his ML of 9-2. 4-1 is my
bottom limit. He needs the trip to go right, and you need price value to
play those. It doesn't always go your way.
4 J Js Delivery
removes lasix for his return, off two qualifiers and a trainer change.
He was a nice 3yo, but has not made the transition well to aged ones. I
like others, and will watch him.
5 Prince Clyde tripped out and
won at the bottom last week. He was lucky in that the main contender was
off a year and had a tough journey from post 10, and couldn't get there
in time. He was beat if that one got loose earlier. A win is a win
though. This isn't a tough rise, and his post is good again. He has a
shot, but I like at least one better than him.
Lovedancinwithyou is not doing enough at this level for me to back him.
He drops the win off here and if I like what I see, I might go to him
next time for a price. Pass and watch tonight.
7 Uf Bettors
Hanover was flying late last time, but had post 10 and couldn't get
there in time. He rises here, but not by much, and these are possible to
take. I would hope the price is there to consider him. He has a history
of winning at a big price.
8 Bs Tyrrific paced a strong mile for
Weller, and he moves up slightly here and gets the 8 hole. That might
stunt his progress. He starts slow anyway, so it might not be the strike
against him that it is to many. Minor shot if he picks up live flow.
Shadow Margeaux loses Mcnair to his dads horse, and combined with post 9
and the move up makes me go elsewhere. I'd think he is looking to find
the proper claiming level at some point.
10 Three of Clubs was
2nd off the shelf last time and very live. He probably goes to the back
of the bus here. I have to pass and wait. If he holds his soundness, he
is a decent play next time if he races as good this time as he did last
1 Shestherealthing continues to finish with
horrid last quarters, and only once was that good enough to win a race.
I cant back her. I think she had a fluky night. She is a bit of a live
wire, and leaving from the rail is not going to help her.
Mostinterestingman broke his maiden at this track, but has had trouble
doing enough to win nw2, with the trainer driving most of the time. I
like others better. I'd have to see more from him and a professional
driver to make me go to him.
3 Missedbyaday took heavy action at
the windows last week, but backed off the gate and was no factor. This
is Per's 2nd try with him. I will wait at least one more and hope he
puts him in play here and then lists a catch driver next time. He shows
flashes of speed at times, but needs to put it together.
Sunrise Avenue had every chance last time, but she didn't do enough. I
could see her turning that around tonight. This is a very soft bunch.
Work That Magic shows talent at times, but also soreness and she will
not go with that. If somehow she looks better this time parading, I'd go
to her if the price doesn't reflect her improved appearance.
was late to the races and shows no speed in the last quarter. I cant
back her with what I see. Based on her breeding, I'd think she is off to
the breeding shed in a month or two. They probably hope to get a faster
record soon, but if not, then not.
7 True Muscle has been horrible for a long time. Cant touch her until I see something positive.
Silky Flashy Nfast took advantage of a very soft bunch of maidens to
use her stakes experience to handle them. She has been freshened up for
the winter, and can probably double up on this mediocre bunch.
9 Little Stuie shows me nothing to suggest he can do much from the 9 hole, or even a better hole for that matter.
Archery blasted out from the 10 hole last time in his first start at
this track, and he spit the bit coming for home. He did stay trotting. I
will watch this time. Hopefully he draws better next time.
Levy Taylore paced a decent mile last time, to a class dropping winner
who tripped out and a former top Stakes horse who was class diving. Post
1 would lead me to go elsewhere, but if he does okay I'd probably go to this one next time.
2 They Call Me Gordy didnt do enough last time off a very easy trip. I gave him the benefit of the doubt then. Tonight, pass.
3 Smarter Yet closed with the pack last time and drops slightly here. These are pretty soft, he has a minor shot for a price.
Big Petes Style blasted out from a good post last week and looked to
come up the inside to outpace the winner, but was never getting by that
one. However, it was a good effort and wake up call for him. I wouldn't
take a short price on him, which he probably brings, but he has to be considered a contender.
Hail the Taxi closed up okay with the pack last time to nab 5th from a 9
hole start. He is 1 for 42 the last two years, that win coming at KD.
Can't back him for the win.
6 Crafty Master takes a substantial class drop from his last 2 at this track, gets the best post and Trevor. My top call.
Hickory Terrific ships in from Northfield, where he wasn't winning at
the bottom class there, which has mostly horses that wouldn't win a 5
claimer at Flamboro, with some exceptions, like this one.
8 St Lads Lotto has suspect but okay form. He is one of many, but also one that pops every now and then.
9 Cams Tux was an early scratch.
10 Ideal Jet draws the 10 hole but gets 9 with the scratch of Cams Tux. Not enough for me. Pass.
A Boy Named Suuzz needs class relief and gets it. However, he hasnt
looked sharp lately, and while he isnt without a shot, he will have to
overcome the early energy he will have to expend to push the rail and
then possibly retake. I think that gets him beat by at least 2 of these
when it matters.
2 Machapelo shows me nothing that would lead me to back him, and even a drop to 8k might not be enough.
Vital Sign is the one I will call in the upset. he has three 1's and a 9
on the page his last 4 starts off the layoff. He is just on the
fringes, but hopefully can be up in the top 5 here and pick up live
cover. Its a stab to go against the 6, who looks cinchy here. I can't
find any others to back. He has just gotten closer each time. I'd want odds, likely 10-1 or higher.
Chosen Hombre doesn't show me anything to suggest he is anything more
than a bit player at this level. He was a bad claim, but might have to
go in for 10 to do some damage.
5 Raging Fingers was outpaced for 10 last time, when he had every chance to win. I think he is over his head.
Lisvinnie looks like a cinch here, but stranger things have happened. I
will go to another, but its a stab. If he maintains how he has been, he
is untouchable in with this bunch. The new barn is a concern. Johnson seems to have him figured out and that sometimes is a difference maker.
7 New York Nightmare is pacing solid miles, but is no match for the one who beat him last time. I cant back him when he doesn't do enough to win.
Tony Soprano made the right move at the right time last week, and
simply gained control as most of the contenders were spent or off
stride. Like many in this field, he is wildly inconsistent. He is one
that could have a lot of trouble with post 1 if his history of bad behavior holds up.
Marquis Volo jumped it off last time and had trouble coming through
until 2 back. I haven't liked what I've seen from him, and as he takes
long breaks when he goes on the shelf, I suspect its hard to keep him
racing and he will probably go the wrong way rather than the right one now. Pass.
3 Mystery Bet was on a full gallop coming to the gate last time. I will pass on him. Once he goes bad, he stays bad for a while. If I'm wrong, he can beat me.
P L Hercules was solid on the class rise last time, flying up for 4th.
He didn't attempt control last time, but he is likely to go back to that
strategy here. These are softer, top to bottom than that field was, even though its the same class and purse.
Little Red Chev comes off two 9 holes and some decent form, including a
closing 2nd last week. She is in the mix and because she can leave when
asked, could bag a nice easy trip. Shot.
6 Escuela takes a big class rise here. I don't see her ability matching up with most of these, although her sharpness is better than most. That big late move probably wont pick these up like it did last time against far easier.
7 Zagster is not one I am fond of from what I have seen of him on the track lately. I will wait for some sign of a turnaround in how he travels. He ran last time and that didn't surprise me. He does have some talent.
Rockin With Dewey has gained control in two consecutive starts from
good posts and simply stepped up the pace when she needed to and was
asked. This is a much stiffer bunch and the post negates any idea to try
those tactics now. Pass.
9 April Rose the wildcard in the bunch.
Post 9, Pocono shipper, Oakes to Allard, fast mile followed by so so
effort. She will get her class tested here. I think she will fail that
test. Allard is batting zero in the win department lately.
Georgies Pockets took 36k out of the Autumn Series. A very nice score
for a mid level Grassroots horse. Now, he has to wade into the deep
condition waters. With post 10 tonight, I'd suspect they want to see if
he can brush late and keep up. No shot tonight from this post and class rise.
Shippen Out ships in off the claim for Allard. Of course, this one we
know well. Not the most determined type, but he does do well when the
trip works out and he is at the right level. This field isn't tough, top
to bottom, but I will have to see where he is at before I put money on
the table. Lets see him parade. The rail wont help, but it wont kill his
chances either. He has never been the type to blast and take prisoners.
He shows a break at the top of the stretch last time. Because he comes from Allard, that would concern me. He must be seen.
Dinner At the Met is one J Mac was not swayed enough with to stick to
as Joe C arrives. I like Carmen's as well, and I know this horse from
the States. I will have to see him, but I think he is over his head with these.
Dalton Did It hooked a couple of tough ones last time, and trying to
keep up with them took the steam out of him. I'm on the fence as to
whether he is a 20 or 15. As I am leaning to 15, I will pass on him tonight and watch.
Needlecrest didn't look like he had any front end speed, but as has
been said before, any horse can be made to gun. Most don't, because they
stop like rats when they are made to spend the energy early, like this
one did last time. I remain convinced he is one level too high. Pass for
5 Jenkins Creek bagged 4th money in a 6 horse field last
time, but the two behind him were not pretty to say the least. Pass on
him. Not sure if I will back him on the way back down, but I am certain I
wouldn't in this class as is.
6 York Seelster paced a strong
mile last time after starting from the rail then moving towards the
turn, taking over late and barely holding on. I would think with this
post, and his history, he is aiming for the front this time. He can be picked off if he tries that, but he looks like the one to me.
7 Shock N Rock seems to have lost form in his last two, which have been terrible. He would have to do a lot better to get me interested. I think he is one level up from where he needs to be.
8 Crocadile Canyon was laid off in the summer, after going to Hoosier where the purses are
good but the relative competition is much softer than here. He needed 4
qualifiers to get back to the races, the last without lasix and back on
Team Z. I want to see him on the track, but he is possible if he shows
me the right things.
9 Panedictine post will do this one in. I cant see him from the hole he starts from here.
10 Lonewolf Currier still dont like what I see. Total Pass.