SBOA ELIMINATION: ONTARIO SIRED 3 YEAR OLD COLT AND GELDING
1 Galen Erso
6 Cousin Halifax
7 Artful Dodger
5 Day
If Galen Erso brings his A game, he looks like a pretty easy winner. Behind him it's fairly wide open.
1 Galen Erso seems to have a significant speed and class edge on this entire field, comes in ready as he has trotted in 55 and change and clearly he should be able to trot in 54 flat if not faster. If he gets away clean and avoids any road trouble he looks tough to beat.
2 Manforce was raced aggressively in the Ontario Spring Final but he gave it up in the stretch. It would appear he is steady but has one brush that needs to be used tactically. I'm sure JJ is aware of that and I wouldn't expect a big move until they turn for home. He is still a maiden facing some who have won high end stakes and 3 races lifetime. He looks like a bit player here.
3 Fast Snap drew poorly last time but made steady gains for catch driver J Mac and nabbed 3rd money. He loses J Mac here and gets the trainer back in the bike, and he can be very aggressive at times. I would expect him to blast out of there and look for a pocket trip to the lane. If that plays out he is in the mix for 2nd money assuming Galen Erso is by himself. He has only had 4 life starts and seems to be improving. He now needs another level if he is going to play with these big boys.
4 Green Monster is a homebred out of the big money winner Bax of Life. He took his two wins in 59 and 2 minutes, and so far has not shown the speed to go with many of these. Last time he made a break. This looks to be a very tough spot for him.
5 Day is a homebred who has had mixed results at best, not shown the speed or class of a few in here but did trot in 56.1 in his last start of his 2yo year when the hopples went on to finish 2nd. He needs to be seen as he could be one of those that just puts it all together after a winter off.
6 Cousin Halifax was fairly impressive at 2, being 1st or 2nd in all 6 starts until he last start in the Grassroots final when he made an early break to be way out of it. He returned last time with the 10 hole and a new trainer, started pretty good and went in 56 flat to get 4th money. He has upside potential but Roy chose the 5 horse over him.
7 Artful Dodger was fast early last year then sold for big bucks to the new connections, and although he made the Superfinal he was parked the entire mile before backing through the field and he never actually won a race. He rectified that in his first start back in a sharp 55.4 then was raced easy in nw2 from an 8 hole start to pick up 3rd money in the prep for this. I would think he is aiming at the Golds again and this is a test to see where he is at, facing the rail horse who was one of the best in that class last year.
8 Rising Interest is trotting in 54 and at the nw3 level, so that gives him an edge on many of these, on paper. On the track he seems to drift late and has trouble finishing. Post 8 start means he is likely to take back or see a lot of air. He was 3rd in the Superfinal last year, so he has a license to be very competitive with these, but he will have to be seen. He has been raced hard lately and at 2. That will catch up with him if it hasn't already.
1 Galen Erso seems to have a significant speed and class edge on this entire field, comes in ready as he has trotted in 55 and change and clearly he should be able to trot in 54 flat if not faster. If he gets away clean and avoids any road trouble he looks tough to beat.
2 Manforce was raced aggressively in the Ontario Spring Final but he gave it up in the stretch. It would appear he is steady but has one brush that needs to be used tactically. I'm sure JJ is aware of that and I wouldn't expect a big move until they turn for home. He is still a maiden facing some who have won high end stakes and 3 races lifetime. He looks like a bit player here.
3 Fast Snap drew poorly last time but made steady gains for catch driver J Mac and nabbed 3rd money. He loses J Mac here and gets the trainer back in the bike, and he can be very aggressive at times. I would expect him to blast out of there and look for a pocket trip to the lane. If that plays out he is in the mix for 2nd money assuming Galen Erso is by himself. He has only had 4 life starts and seems to be improving. He now needs another level if he is going to play with these big boys.
4 Green Monster is a homebred out of the big money winner Bax of Life. He took his two wins in 59 and 2 minutes, and so far has not shown the speed to go with many of these. Last time he made a break. This looks to be a very tough spot for him.
5 Day is a homebred who has had mixed results at best, not shown the speed or class of a few in here but did trot in 56.1 in his last start of his 2yo year when the hopples went on to finish 2nd. He needs to be seen as he could be one of those that just puts it all together after a winter off.
6 Cousin Halifax was fairly impressive at 2, being 1st or 2nd in all 6 starts until he last start in the Grassroots final when he made an early break to be way out of it. He returned last time with the 10 hole and a new trainer, started pretty good and went in 56 flat to get 4th money. He has upside potential but Roy chose the 5 horse over him.
7 Artful Dodger was fast early last year then sold for big bucks to the new connections, and although he made the Superfinal he was parked the entire mile before backing through the field and he never actually won a race. He rectified that in his first start back in a sharp 55.4 then was raced easy in nw2 from an 8 hole start to pick up 3rd money in the prep for this. I would think he is aiming at the Golds again and this is a test to see where he is at, facing the rail horse who was one of the best in that class last year.
8 Rising Interest is trotting in 54 and at the nw3 level, so that gives him an edge on many of these, on paper. On the track he seems to drift late and has trouble finishing. Post 8 start means he is likely to take back or see a lot of air. He was 3rd in the Superfinal last year, so he has a license to be very competitive with these, but he will have to be seen. He has been raced hard lately and at 2. That will catch up with him if it hasn't already.
6 --Trot, purse $25,000
SBOA ELIMINATION: ONTARIO SIRED 3 YEAR OLD COLT AND GELDING TROT.
SBOA ELIMINATION: ONTARIO SIRED 3 YEAR OLD COLT AND GELDING TROT.
3 Chicago Hall
1 Lookatmegoamigo
7 Fleetwood Mac
6 Getthegreen
Wide open race where anything can happen. How many stay on stride and who does that will be key. Not enough value overall to take a shot against the 6.
1 Lookatmegoamigo got a 2nd at the Gold Level last year and tried much tougher in the Wellwood, where he got 5th money, the Champlain where he got 4th money and the Mohawk Million where he was inside the pylons and distanced. He was okay but nothing special in his return tightener for this race. He will have to be seen but others look better.
2 Flanagan Sunshine made a break last time but before that was a solid wire to wire winner in 55.3. His leaving ability is a plus but he is just one of many in a contentious race on paper.
3 Chicago Hall will lose J Mac to a seemingly better one. Off the right trip he still has a shot here as he shows flashes of being of this caliber. Timing his one move is key. JJ is good at doing that.
4 Call Me Parker is a maiden after 14 starts taking on some proven winners and some who have competed well at the Gold level. Its hard to see him with this caliber of horse. Maybe as the summer goes on, but right now, they are far advanced from him. He does have a shot at a good slice though, as he is a good follower, and has already banked 56k deploying that style.
6 Getthegreen kept good company last year and was 2nd in the Gold Superfinal, although he never broke his maiden. He took care of that in his return, wiring in 56.1 by open lengths then made a break in nw2 as the 3-5 choice. He has shown breaks last year at 2, so he will have to be seen as he made his latest break only 8 days ago.
7 Fleetwood Mac is still a maiden although he has tackled tough company and trotted in 55.3 twice in recent defeat. He is in tough here but he does have a shot as there are no standouts in this bunch.
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