1 -- Trot, purse $21,000 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (FM 4) RACES
4 Grambling Hall6 Tregaron
7 Rising Interest
5 Myfriendjose
1 Flirty Dancer was never involved or close last time and comes back to the same class. She was a good Sire Stakes horse but now that she has aged she seems in tough with the conditioned mixed classes. Pass for now. She has to step up.
2 No One beat these types at Flm twice, but at this track the class is way tougher. He did draw poorly both times but gets inside here. He has upside going forward but has to show a bit more overall speed to be considered a win candidate as the better stock is now off holidays.
3 P L Robert G raced well last time and got the job done at nw2 in good time, but these are tougher and just a shade faster. I will give him time to adapt to these and watch him for now.
4 Grambling Hall has returned from a winter layoff and met some very tough customers. Logan Park and then Paquet in the qualifiers and then Paquet and other proven ones in the Graduate series, with expected results there. Borth sticks with the one he has been doing well with, so L. Roy takes over and he has done well with him before. He will add Lasix here and his win time last year suggests he can win this if the lasix puts him over the top. If his ML plays out, he is excellent value.
5 Myfriendjose has shown gate speed before and reverted to that style again last time, blasting off, taking the pocket, popping that and winning in life's best time, which is better than any of these have achieved before. However, he has been wildly inconsistent over his career, and can he come right back and do what he did last time? He has to be seen.
6 Tregaron gets his regular drive back here, and he has gradually raced into shape and form. Two qualifiers and a race, taking his time down each time to get where he is a contender with this bunch. He is still short a few lengths of winning this but he can show that. He left the gate well at 2 and maybe its time to show that again now.
7 Rising Interest improved dramatically last time, taking his overall time way down and the back half was snappy as well. Now, can he duplicate that? He got 3rd in the Gold Superfinal last year, so you would think he can. Could be good value as others look like they will get bet. He was on the left line parading and then drifting out badly in the stretch, but he was going forward doing it. He has to be seen again.
8 C Kan Trot throws the kitchen sink at us here. Ships in from the B tracks, gets the driver change to J Mac and adds lasix. She was not good enough when here last in nw2 and this is nw3 with the 8 hole this time. I would think this is a test drive to see how the changes work.
9 Wearing The Green was parked to make the lead from the 8 hole last time then was no match for the winner and gave up 2nd as well. As he is prepping for the Sire Stakes, I would think taking back and racing him a bit easier is the plan here.
10 Stonebridge Glee goes 2nd start lasix, but he also moves up a class without winning and draws post 10. He needs at least 2 seconds to go with many of these and I don't see any evidence of that so far.
Recap.
Tregeron was wildly overbet as the 6-5 favorite, took back and only closed with the pack, never really dangerous. He seems like he is taking his time to get his season going. Parading he is a bit of a mild head tosser. Flirty Dancer seemed nice and quiet parading but began to jump around and toss her head as she went to the gate and went on a continued run. Rising Interest left out hard but was parked to the quarter in 27.1 and then cleared by the 3/8ths and cut it from there. MyfriendJose left out, let the leader go, pulled pocket on him shortly before the 3/4 pole and then cleared and drove away in the stretch. PL Rogert G was second over and raced very well, 2nd best to the easy winner. Grambling Hall left out, sat in, followed and trotted up the inside to hold for 3rd. Rising Interest faded down the lane but didnt drift out this time. Tregaron was 3rd and 4th over, but was never gaining or keeping up and was flat at best. No One pulled first over but faded in the lane. Stonebridge Glee was back of the pack the entire way and didnt keep up as they picked up the pace.Flirty Dancer was distanced off the early bad behavior.
2 -- Trot, purse $36,000 PREFERRED.
4 Osceola
6 Gaines Hanover
3 Logan Park
7 Fashion Frenzie
1 Locatelli competes hard and earns a good living, but at this level he doesn't have enough against the top contenders.
2 Top Mast is a young horse facing older foes who has worked his way up to the Preferred, but doesn't look ready to compete for the win. One day maybe. Not currently.
3 Logan Park gutted it out over Gaines Hanover last time, barely and under heavy pressure, but he has bigger fish to fry and some of these are close to taking him down. I will go against him tonight. Although he has done it before, to my eye he wasn't as good without lasix last time and he tries that again here. I guess he has to be used to that as there is no Lasix in Sweden.
4 Osceola made a break in his return from his winter off, then dropped and popped on a bunch he has more class than. Now back up at the Preferred, if he were to stay flat, he has the ability to win this. I will call him for the upset based on the chance the top 2 battle and get softened up.
5 New Rules has raced hard all year and has 141k to show for that. He seems to be just tailing off a bit and the competition is tougher and deeper now. I like others.
6 Gaines Hanover is a fast and consistent classy horse who whipped most of these last time and gave Logan Park all he could handle the start before that. He was a bit sore on his left hind parading and scoring out last week, and that is a bit concerning. Didn't bother him in the race though.
7 Fashion Frenzie missed a month between starts last time but was still a solid 2nd to a dominant winner he meets again. With some horses, this one included, having space between starts helps. Nevertheless he is capable when he is good. I still like 3 others more than him here.
4 Osceola
6 Gaines Hanover
3 Logan Park
7 Fashion Frenzie
1 Locatelli competes hard and earns a good living, but at this level he doesn't have enough against the top contenders.
2 Top Mast is a young horse facing older foes who has worked his way up to the Preferred, but doesn't look ready to compete for the win. One day maybe. Not currently.
3 Logan Park gutted it out over Gaines Hanover last time, barely and under heavy pressure, but he has bigger fish to fry and some of these are close to taking him down. I will go against him tonight. Although he has done it before, to my eye he wasn't as good without lasix last time and he tries that again here. I guess he has to be used to that as there is no Lasix in Sweden.
4 Osceola made a break in his return from his winter off, then dropped and popped on a bunch he has more class than. Now back up at the Preferred, if he were to stay flat, he has the ability to win this. I will call him for the upset based on the chance the top 2 battle and get softened up.
5 New Rules has raced hard all year and has 141k to show for that. He seems to be just tailing off a bit and the competition is tougher and deeper now. I like others.
6 Gaines Hanover is a fast and consistent classy horse who whipped most of these last time and gave Logan Park all he could handle the start before that. He was a bit sore on his left hind parading and scoring out last week, and that is a bit concerning. Didn't bother him in the race though.
7 Fashion Frenzie missed a month between starts last time but was still a solid 2nd to a dominant winner he meets again. With some horses, this one included, having space between starts helps. Nevertheless he is capable when he is good. I still like 3 others more than him here.
Recap. Gaines Hanover went off as the big favorite, which was a bit of a surprise, and also that made Logan Park more playable and a good value winner in the end at 2-1. Gaines Hanover was again a bit wobbly all over parading, more a mechanical issue than soundness but when he races you dont see it as much, for now anyway. Fashion Frenzie continues to look smoother when he parades and his attitude is excellent. He is heading towards winning form. Logan Park was all out to win but the time was fast and Gaines Hanover is a tough customer to hold off. Fashion Frenzie led early, then was out trotted by the top 2 but a clear and solid 3rd. Osceola looked good until he turned for him then got scrambly and made a break. Didnt look unsound and its likely a foot issue or some kind of minor interference. He will get it together eventually. The rest were never involved or dangerous. Top Mast was best of the rest and he is adapting. New Rules is flat and tired at this stage.
4 -- Trot, purse $24,000 NW $15,000 LAST 5 STARTS
3 Ghostly Casper
2 Mars Hill
5 My Buddy Sam
4 Nasey
1 Spartan General generally starts very slow as he has to be handled carefully to avoid him jumping it off. On his best day he is good enough to beat these, but those days are not consistent anymore. I view him as more of a bit player here against some tough class droppers.
2 Mars Hill a homebred who was bought back at the sale for 325k but never did enough as a young horse, although he shows flashes. Now, he makes his 2nd start back as a 4yo and second start for McNair after a solid tightener in the Preferred. On the drop, he is possible but will have to be seen.
3 Ghostly Casper gets to avoid Logan Park and Gaines Hanover here on the move out of the Preferred, where he was solid behind those ones. A repeat of his last likely makes this 800k winner the victor in this one. He is the one to beat. I would not single him though.
4 Nasey moved up to this level without winning but was a solid 2nd in fast time to Osceola. One of many in here who are dangerous off the right trip.
5 My Buddy Sam is a late bloomer who seems to be getting better as he ages. He has good tactical early speed for this level and can carry it if he gets the right trip. He has a shot if the trip gives him that chance here.
6 Pennteller Hanover is a big ticket yearling who didn't pan out. Now, he seems to have his act together as he rises up the ranks as an aged horse. This will be a much tougher test as he meets some salty veterans here who have faced and beaten much tougher than him over the years. This is where I get off his bandwagon.
7 Perfetto is closing in on 1 million earned, but he is older now and has lost a few steps. He beat these 3 back but the speeds are now picking up and that is an issue at this stage of his career. He didn't do enough last time at this level and I will look elsewhere until he gets more class relief.
8 Truffles Too seems like he could use a class drop but he earns consistent enough slices at this level to prevent that. Combine that with the 8 hole here, and he is likely to aim for another 3rd or 4th.
9 Macallan drops out of the preferred where he was way over his head but while he was 2nd at this level down the page, that was from a much better post. I cant see him with a back of the bus start taking all of these down. Pass.
3 Ghostly Casper
2 Mars Hill
5 My Buddy Sam
4 Nasey
1 Spartan General generally starts very slow as he has to be handled carefully to avoid him jumping it off. On his best day he is good enough to beat these, but those days are not consistent anymore. I view him as more of a bit player here against some tough class droppers.
2 Mars Hill a homebred who was bought back at the sale for 325k but never did enough as a young horse, although he shows flashes. Now, he makes his 2nd start back as a 4yo and second start for McNair after a solid tightener in the Preferred. On the drop, he is possible but will have to be seen.
3 Ghostly Casper gets to avoid Logan Park and Gaines Hanover here on the move out of the Preferred, where he was solid behind those ones. A repeat of his last likely makes this 800k winner the victor in this one. He is the one to beat. I would not single him though.
4 Nasey moved up to this level without winning but was a solid 2nd in fast time to Osceola. One of many in here who are dangerous off the right trip.
5 My Buddy Sam is a late bloomer who seems to be getting better as he ages. He has good tactical early speed for this level and can carry it if he gets the right trip. He has a shot if the trip gives him that chance here.
6 Pennteller Hanover is a big ticket yearling who didn't pan out. Now, he seems to have his act together as he rises up the ranks as an aged horse. This will be a much tougher test as he meets some salty veterans here who have faced and beaten much tougher than him over the years. This is where I get off his bandwagon.
7 Perfetto is closing in on 1 million earned, but he is older now and has lost a few steps. He beat these 3 back but the speeds are now picking up and that is an issue at this stage of his career. He didn't do enough last time at this level and I will look elsewhere until he gets more class relief.
8 Truffles Too seems like he could use a class drop but he earns consistent enough slices at this level to prevent that. Combine that with the 8 hole here, and he is likely to aim for another 3rd or 4th.
9 Macallan drops out of the preferred where he was way over his head but while he was 2nd at this level down the page, that was from a much better post. I cant see him with a back of the bus start taking all of these down. Pass.
10 Dahlquist Hanover draws the 10 hole here and that really hurts one like him who likes to be near the front. Another day.
Recap
Recap
Spartan General gapped the gate a couple of lengths, was raced near the back and then made a nice late rush to be a fast closing 4th. He looked good relative to how unsound he used to look. Pennteller Hanover gapped the gate a bit but then went forward, was in the pocket but didnt have enough to finish with the better ones of these. He will need to adapt. Ghostly Casper brushed to the top at the half and then was just too much class for this bunch. Nasey kept to the inside trip then split horses late to get 2nd. Perfetto was reluctantly first up and held well considering. Mars Hill appears to need another class drop but was otherwise okay. The rest are in too tough with this bunch and werent viable.
6 -- Trot, purse $15,000 NW $6,500 LAST 5 STARTS
3 Bella Cavalla
2 Like Chaos
4 Radio Lab
6 Market Banker
1 Cadillac Moon was 2nd at 36-1 last time to Market Banker, whom he meets again. That was at the bottom, and these are tougher. At this level two back he was well up the track. I think he is way too class dependent to be used here.
2 Like Chaos likes the front but is prone to fading if pushed. Last time he got a 2nd quarter breather and beat all but one. I guess he is playable if he gets his way, but as the likely favorite, I would think he is bad value.
3 Bella Cavalla gets the positive driver change here for her second try in a row at this level. She has always been one that knows how to win when spotted correctly. I will put her on top here with all of that in play.
4 Radio Lab has bagged 46k this year already, and that isn't nothing. It indicates who he has faced and how well he has performed. Part of that also indicates how much wear and tear he has endured this year on a horse that has never looked very sound. He is likely to take some play here in a race where many look over their heads. He will have to be seen. I'm inclined to try and beat his short price.
5 My Holy Moley returns off a 3 month layoff with a satisfactory qualifier. He gets to drop a level here but the slower winter conditions he faced are not the faster ones he faces in the late spring. I will watch him for later, but I'd think the bottom is where he is more viable if he can maintain decent form.
3 Bella Cavalla
2 Like Chaos
4 Radio Lab
6 Market Banker
1 Cadillac Moon was 2nd at 36-1 last time to Market Banker, whom he meets again. That was at the bottom, and these are tougher. At this level two back he was well up the track. I think he is way too class dependent to be used here.
2 Like Chaos likes the front but is prone to fading if pushed. Last time he got a 2nd quarter breather and beat all but one. I guess he is playable if he gets his way, but as the likely favorite, I would think he is bad value.
3 Bella Cavalla gets the positive driver change here for her second try in a row at this level. She has always been one that knows how to win when spotted correctly. I will put her on top here with all of that in play.
4 Radio Lab has bagged 46k this year already, and that isn't nothing. It indicates who he has faced and how well he has performed. Part of that also indicates how much wear and tear he has endured this year on a horse that has never looked very sound. He is likely to take some play here in a race where many look over their heads. He will have to be seen. I'm inclined to try and beat his short price.
5 My Holy Moley returns off a 3 month layoff with a satisfactory qualifier. He gets to drop a level here but the slower winter conditions he faced are not the faster ones he faces in the late spring. I will watch him for later, but I'd think the bottom is where he is more viable if he can maintain decent form.
6 Market Banker won at the bottom last time with a sit in trip and one brush at the end. That won't play with some of these. He hasn't yet shown as much overall speed as many of these.
7 Devils Arch comes off a short rest and qualified okay. He looks to need at least one start to get back in the swing of things, and that might come at the bottom based on his low earnings this year. I will watch for that.
8 The Canam Banker draws poorly here and loses Trevor to his own horse. He looks like one who would be better if he found the bottom nw condition.
9 Century Jaguar had to qualify after two breaks in a row at long odds. He did that and now draws the 9 hole. Not for me tonight, but one to watch as he races on.
7 Devils Arch comes off a short rest and qualified okay. He looks to need at least one start to get back in the swing of things, and that might come at the bottom based on his low earnings this year. I will watch for that.
8 The Canam Banker draws poorly here and loses Trevor to his own horse. He looks like one who would be better if he found the bottom nw condition.
9 Century Jaguar had to qualify after two breaks in a row at long odds. He did that and now draws the 9 hole. Not for me tonight, but one to watch as he races on.
Recap
Century Jaguar and Like Chaos both paraded a little sore over their back end, Century Jaguar much worse. Like Chaos a bit hot parading, Radio Lab looked the best of all of them parading and scoring. Bella Cavalla was 8-5, which was horrible value, first over going nowhere and not really sharp at all. Like Chaos looked like an easy winner turning for home, but completely stopped. Either a bleeder or tie up horse. Radio Lab was buried a long way, free too late and then came on again with a solid finish but had too far to come. Market Banker was an okay 3rd but no real threat. The rest didn't really get involved or make any gains late. Devils Arch left well, followed, angled when the leader collapsed and then sailed home to an easy win.
8 -- Trot, purse $18,000 NW $9,000 LAST 5 STARTS.
5 Veracruz
1 Sparks Fly
4 Djimon
3 Southwind Domino
5 Veracruz
1 Sparks Fly
4 Djimon
3 Southwind Domino
1 Sparks Fly takes the double drop here for Hensley and he is likely to be driven aggressively this time, as that is his preferred style. He looks to have some competition for the top here, and if he accepts a 2 or 3 hole inside trip he can pop in the lane and take his shot. One of a few who need the right trip.
2 Eden Onthehill moves up off a solid win from a pocket trip in good time. That makes him 2 for 35 the last two years and this level has proven tougher for him. I like others here.
3 Southwind Domino takes a double class drop here off 4 races where he was double digit odds and not competitive. He will have to be seen, as his current form doesn't match his lifetime ability. If he bombs here, he gets to drop to the bottom class. He must be watched either way. I'm on the fence about him and want to see him parade for some clues.
4 Djimon has come back for his 5yo season with a mixed bag of races. He broke in his first qualifier then followed Logan Park around for his second one, then to be tossed immediately into the Preferred at 127-1 and followed Logan Park and others around in that one. He used that as a prep when he dove back down to this level and was 3-5, put on the engine but was gunned down late. Last time, up two levels, he took the off the pace approach but could only manage 5th to some more very tough customers who would be 1-9 with this bunch. Now that he is race fit and back at this level he is an obvious contender, but no cinch.
5 Veracruz drops out of the tough straight nw3 class, where he faced some tough customers last time. He was first over yet held well for 2nd to a winner that wasn't being touched. He dives here into easier conditions. From the right stalking trip, and a bit of racing luck he is a very attractive longshot play.
6 Yank My Halo likes to sit mid pack and try to pick them off in the stretch. That worked last time one level below this. He is an infrequent winner and this level has posed some difficulty for him before. I wouldn't toss him but as a straight win candidate others look better than him. He would need a pace collapse scenario.
7 Serenity Cruise was horribly over his head in his last and his finish indicates that. That was his first off a layoff and he gets to drop back to this level, but he is not as sharp as he was in the fall when he was viable with these. I would expect him to get a soft following trip here and aim for a minor slice. He paraded lame behind last time and raced like it.
8 Cold Snaps was parked the mile last time a level lower than this then ran. She draws the 8 hole here and is very tough to make a case for. She needs to show better form. Perhaps when she drops the win off the page. She might be a good go against at that stage if she doesn't improve along the way. Not tonight for me.
Recap
Sparks Fly looked smooth and ready to rock scoring down. Serenity Cruise looked very suspect again in his hind end. Edenonthehill looked sharp parading and scoring down. On the bit but not pulling. Southwind Domino was acting up after the score out. Didnt want to turn the right way of the track. When he gathers speed, either in the post parade or leaving the gate you can see his hitch in his gait. Sparks Fly wired them, he was comfortable the entire way. Djimon half left, then went first up but was never really going forward. Cold Snaps made two breaks, looks to be some issue on the left front.
10 -- Trot, purse $11,000 NW $3,000 LAST 5 STARTS. OPT. CLM. $20,000.
3 Eyes Of Justice
4 Buck Dancer
5 Mystic
3 Eyes Of Justice
4 Buck Dancer
5 Mystic
1 Mister Magic a tough warhorse type. When he is right, he can easily handle these and has done so many times. However, he has been terribly lame at times in his life and now shows 2 breaks in his last 3 starts, which is what he does when he starts to feel the pain of that lameness. He has to be seen parading, but most likely I will play against him in this spot.
2 Jokic was claimed then made two breaks in two races and had to qualify. He looks like a very poor risk at this stage unless some variables change. Pass.
3 Eyes Of Justice has been racing week in, week out for almost an entire year and a half and it seems to be showing in how he finishes miles. He comes in for the tag here, so he gets to meet softer competition, and the odd time he can still bring it. He is usable on that angle for a bigger price, which is likely considering some of the others who will get played here. I'd want 8-1 or higher.
4 Buck Dancer is fairly solid at this level, and in two of his last 3 he has raced well but been a beaten favorite. He has won 10 of 35 in the last two years, so at this level, he is a winner who has to be respected. Another though that the short price is an issue. He has also been the beaten favorite at this level in 4 of his last 5. He looks like bad value.
5 Mystic is somewhat variable at this stage of his career, although he has always had that element to him. After a return from a winter layoff, he has been put on the front in two of his last three only to completely cave in. In the other, he accepted a stalking trip and finished okay, but seemingly outclassed by better ones.
Here he drops to the bottom and gets a very good starting post. If things go right he is logical, but his likely shorter price would push me to others.
7 Perfect Angel ditches the condition chase for this bottom level nw class. Wisely, as she looked very much overmatched there. She has decent enough overall speed to play with these if things go right. Have to see her parade based on her breeding.
8 Talk Show Host ships back from Flamboro after 3 tries where it didn't work but was no better at this track. He is 1 for 34 in the last two years and draws outside. Can't make any case for him being viable.
2 Jokic was claimed then made two breaks in two races and had to qualify. He looks like a very poor risk at this stage unless some variables change. Pass.
3 Eyes Of Justice has been racing week in, week out for almost an entire year and a half and it seems to be showing in how he finishes miles. He comes in for the tag here, so he gets to meet softer competition, and the odd time he can still bring it. He is usable on that angle for a bigger price, which is likely considering some of the others who will get played here. I'd want 8-1 or higher.
4 Buck Dancer is fairly solid at this level, and in two of his last 3 he has raced well but been a beaten favorite. He has won 10 of 35 in the last two years, so at this level, he is a winner who has to be respected. Another though that the short price is an issue. He has also been the beaten favorite at this level in 4 of his last 5. He looks like bad value.
5 Mystic is somewhat variable at this stage of his career, although he has always had that element to him. After a return from a winter layoff, he has been put on the front in two of his last three only to completely cave in. In the other, he accepted a stalking trip and finished okay, but seemingly outclassed by better ones.
Here he drops to the bottom and gets a very good starting post. If things go right he is logical, but his likely shorter price would push me to others.
7 Perfect Angel ditches the condition chase for this bottom level nw class. Wisely, as she looked very much overmatched there. She has decent enough overall speed to play with these if things go right. Have to see her parade based on her breeding.
8 Talk Show Host ships back from Flamboro after 3 tries where it didn't work but was no better at this track. He is 1 for 34 in the last two years and draws outside. Can't make any case for him being viable.
Recap
No noticeable horses in post parade or scoring down. Rain came, track was listed fast but looked muddy or sloppy. Eyes of Justice led to almost the half, let Mister Magic go, stalked him then was twisting and turning in the pocket, got up the rail when the leader drifted and outgamed him to the line. Jokic seemed fine until midstretch, seemed to shorten stride then jumped it off. Others werent really busy or involved but some closed with the pack.
12 -- Trot, purse $15,000 POP UP SERIES:
4 Scintillating Tom
4 Scintillating Tom
5 Crystal Baller
6 Allsummerlong As
2 Peso Hanover
1 Gigondas seems to have lost a few steps this year and the trainer change has not done anything to change that. J Mac picked another over him and he looks tough to back in this spot.
2 Peso Hanover has made the ticket in all of his last 5 starts but has not won in 8 tries this year. He seems to like to leave and sit the entire way. One of these times, that will get him the win. He is likely to be a short price here, so that is not good value when you put the trip scenario together with his price.
3 Shadrack Hanover on his best day can easily handle these, but those days are few and far between now. He looks like bad value in this spot with J Mac attached.
4 Scintillating Tom takes on a more mixed bunch of aged foes here, and he has the early speed to get the right trip. McNair sticks. He looks to have a big shot.
5 Crystal Baller is a solid, grinder, class mover type. He needs to fall into a better trip here, which isn't impossible so he has a shot.
6 Allsummerlong As ships in from Flamboro off 2 wins and a 2nd. Before that she was racing okay but not great at the Big M, and was sold to the new connections who have stepped her up a bit. Now she returns to the big track. She is a reasonable longshot if she parades the part. Note her sire.
7 Eternally Hanover jumped off the gate last time and was distanced, something he has now done 3 times on the page. Currently others show more speed and have far superior form. He is not one I could back here.
8 Upnaway Blue Chip made a break and was distanced last time and shows many breaks on the page. His previous three with these types were ok. He loses McNair to another, and draws the 8 hole. Two of his previous breaks were at Flamboro, and his best when he stays trotting makes him a longshot chance if he stays at it. Post parade very important with this type. He looked iffy parading last time then ran in the turn as he was gunning out for the lead.
9 Valuable Miss 4yo mare on the fringes. Draws the 9 hole here, and started slowly from there last time she had it. She tried it first up last time but that didn't work out either. She looks like a bit player looking for a slice.
6 Allsummerlong As
2 Peso Hanover
1 Gigondas seems to have lost a few steps this year and the trainer change has not done anything to change that. J Mac picked another over him and he looks tough to back in this spot.
2 Peso Hanover has made the ticket in all of his last 5 starts but has not won in 8 tries this year. He seems to like to leave and sit the entire way. One of these times, that will get him the win. He is likely to be a short price here, so that is not good value when you put the trip scenario together with his price.
3 Shadrack Hanover on his best day can easily handle these, but those days are few and far between now. He looks like bad value in this spot with J Mac attached.
4 Scintillating Tom takes on a more mixed bunch of aged foes here, and he has the early speed to get the right trip. McNair sticks. He looks to have a big shot.
5 Crystal Baller is a solid, grinder, class mover type. He needs to fall into a better trip here, which isn't impossible so he has a shot.
6 Allsummerlong As ships in from Flamboro off 2 wins and a 2nd. Before that she was racing okay but not great at the Big M, and was sold to the new connections who have stepped her up a bit. Now she returns to the big track. She is a reasonable longshot if she parades the part. Note her sire.
7 Eternally Hanover jumped off the gate last time and was distanced, something he has now done 3 times on the page. Currently others show more speed and have far superior form. He is not one I could back here.
8 Upnaway Blue Chip made a break and was distanced last time and shows many breaks on the page. His previous three with these types were ok. He loses McNair to another, and draws the 8 hole. Two of his previous breaks were at Flamboro, and his best when he stays trotting makes him a longshot chance if he stays at it. Post parade very important with this type. He looked iffy parading last time then ran in the turn as he was gunning out for the lead.
9 Valuable Miss 4yo mare on the fringes. Draws the 9 hole here, and started slowly from there last time she had it. She tried it first up last time but that didn't work out either. She looks like a bit player looking for a slice.
Recap
Shadrack Hanover wasn't lame or overly sore parading, but he didn't look fluid either. 6,7 and 8 were all gapped noticeably off the gate. Gigondas attempted to wire them but Peso Hanover pulled pocket on the turn and had blown by him early stretch. Eternally Hanover was handled carefully, then off cover he shot out of the pack to take a measured win on the line. Crystal Baller came late to get up for 3rd.
Gigondas caved in once headed and was well back.
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