Saturday, January 10, 2015

Woodbine Harness Notes: January 3-8

Previous weeks list. 

Possible plays: 

BADLANDS LOVE, 2nd
 THE REV, scratch sick
 GRIN FOR MONEY, won
AMERICAN GI, lost
URBANA BAYAMA, won
 ULTIMATE RED, broke, lost
 CANT STOP, 2nd by a nose
MISS POPPYCOCK , lost, no good
BADLYINCLINED, 4th, flat

 CANADIAN EDITION,  won easy
 BLUE CHIP SUNSHINE
 TELLEMHOWYOULIKEIT,  won easy
 WINDSONG JACOBA, won easy, then 8th, bad trip
 
Likely play against:

 DINNER AT THE MET,  scratched
  IDEAL JET
VIP BAYAMA, 8TH, well back 
SURPRISE HANOVER
 SOUTHWIND TERROR
STUARTS DYNASTY, finished 2nd as chalk
VAL DI NOTO, stopped badly
MAPPOS MOENHAY, won but wasn't a play against that night 
  NIPPY W HANOVER, scratched sick
BRIGHT FUTURE, no good OTB

 
Horses to watch for improvement and value:
 
ER ZACH ATTACK, raced okay, didn't like track. over his head
TIGHTEN UP
DOUBLE JOY, won easy
RANSOM DEMAND
 MISTRESSTOTHESTARS, 2nd by a nose, still steppy
 FLIGHT LIFTED, scratched judges 

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New list, with carryovers.

Possible plays: 

SOMEWHERE FAMEOUS
WEATHER HANOVER
MORNING BLUE CHIP
OZZY OZZY
HES A SENSATION
ALWAYS THERE 
 AUTOMATIC SLIMS 
NIRVANA SEELSTER
JAC SPADE 
ALEXAS JACKPOT  
MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS 
GEAR BOX 
GD AIRLINER
 CANT STOP
BLUE CHIP SUNSHINE
      
Likely play against:

MAPPOS MOENHAY
 KEYSTONE DALTON
BLACK VINNY
LOST IN PANSLATION
ROCKNROLL BAND
HIT AND GIGGLE
STRONG HOPE 
SAVANNAH SPLENDOR
REAL ROCKER
  DINNER AT THE MET
   IDEAL JET
     SURPRISE HANOVER
 SOUTHWIND TERROR
 NIPPY W HANOVER
  
Horses to watch for improvement and value:
 
ALL THE LADIES
TERROROFTHENITE HOUSE OF CASH
SEA DONKEY
ER ZACH ATTACK
TIGHTEN UP
RANSOM DEMAND
 FLIGHT LIFTED

January 8

SOMEWHERE FAMEOUS bad luck and bad drive. Left hard from the 9 hole to get away 3rd, then didn't pull when he could have cleared a 99-1 shot and got a shuffle, then tried to go up the rail with tons of pace and got shut off and interfered badly by Hudon who got taken down. Better post and more assertive drive next time and she goes down the road and will only take a 2 hole. She is ready to win.


ALL THE LADIES 
is a tiny filly, but she is speedy, handy and willing. Looks to be improving and could be very dangerous in the next leg and final.

MAPPOS MOENHAY bearing in really bad in the last turn and there is trouble ahead. False fave next time. 
 
WEATHER HANOVER another solid effort. He is coming along and certainly fits well at this level.

KEYSTONE DALTON
not a WEG horse. Has no finish at the end and was chased out of there to get in contention.


January 5

BLACK VINNY looks like he will make a decent B track horse but he will continue to burn money at WEG. He simply doesn't have enough go.

MORNING BLUE CHIP got caught in a terrible blindswitch and simply gave up in the lane. I would give him another chance if the price was right.
TERROROFTHENITE steers like a snake, but he has go when he goes. A better post and hopefully some adjustment and he will score in the next 3 or 4 starts.

LOST IN PANSLATION
doesn't look right and was a very poor claim. Stewart is tricky and I expect this horse to continue to burn chalk money, although on the right night once this winter he might step up.

ROCKNROLL BAND
didn't look right the whole way, Fillion gave him a perfect trip and he was flat. Claiming off Cirasoula is iffy at any time anyway, and this horse wasn't even that good for him. Hard to like him going forward all winter.

HOUSE OF CASH
didn't look like he was travelling right and P Mac never drove him. He was keeping him together. He must be watched to see which way he goes. As of now, he is a no play, but he could come back around like a lot of the CASH HALL's do.

OZZY OZZY
looked to break a trotting hopple and also was rammy in the Post Parade because of all the delays. I will give him a pass for that and hope the odds are higher next time. Still a solid play based on what he has done the last month.

HES A SENSATION
got away dead last, had a world of traffic trouble back him right out of it off a soft half and then could not recover. Big play next time, hopefully a better post and more aggressive steer. Not J Mac's finest hour there, but it wasn't all his fault. He was bearing in a bit in the turns and coming out of the last turn. Hopefully Fletcher takes care of that and gets him even better.

HIT AND GIGGLE
looked awful leaving, lame and whacking a knee. He was off for a long time for a reason, and raced like it. Total pass going forward no matter where he races, and if he takes chalk money at a B track, he is a very solid play against.

STRONG HOPE
scrambly gaited and lame badly in the turns. Solid play against next time if he draws inside and takes huge money again.

ALWAYS THERE
raced huge. Got away last, had suspect and excessive cover but closed best of all to just miss the ticket. Under the right circumstances, with the ability he has shown before, he can be a solid play if the price is there.
AUTOMATIC SLIMS left well enough, sat and didn't pull as you would expect him to sit, then got shuffled back behind two that were going to stop, angled out in the lane and started to come but had one beside him who wasn't stopping or going forward and a wall in front of him all going the same speed. He can be very dangerous next time with maybe a better driver and smoother trip.

SAVANNAH SPLENDOR
closed okay into a very slowing tempo off so so cover, but also gapped the gate bad and wasn't keeping his cover down the backside even though they weren't going much and didn't look that sound overall on the whole. Play against at short odds next time.
REAL ROCKER superb steer by Fillion wasted by horse who is very steppy lame on the turns and flat to the wire. Hard to like next time if he draws inside with this bunch. Good play against.   

January 3

NIRVANA SEELSTER seemed very live leaving and was in contention, but didn't appear to be grabbing the track when asked to go on at the end. He might be better on a drier track next time. And possibly coming from out of it, which is his better trip most nights.
JAC SPADE definitely had trouble with the track from the get go. He has that big flowing gate and that wouldn't play at all on that deep and slick track. Toss this race and count on Campbell to have him ready for a bounce back effort next time.
SEA DONKEY also had serious issues with grabbing the track and had trouble passing JAC SPADE even though he was crawling and being held on to.
ALEXAS JACKPOT clearly did not grab the track and put in some nasty skip steps in the last turn when he finally had room to get out and go. He didn't get the best trip anyway, and he can rebound as he is long overdue to handle the types he has been facing.
MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS appears to be coming into good form and only got picked off by a classy horse who had the trip and is razor sharp. Top form right now and his soundness issues have improved. Got the worse of it this time when he had to move 3 high very early to only end up first up into some fast fractions and paced right to the wire.
GEAR BOX just loved the track and looked the best of any horse all night over it. I'm not sure if it was just the track, or the horse is that much improved. But you certainly can't knock his last two and he might be one of those horses that is improving leaps and bounds for whatever reason. He must be studied to figure him out to play any race he is in going forward. He is a major wildcard for now.
GD AIRLINER monster mile. Parked out all the way to the half. made the top and came under immediate attack by In Commando, beat him off and paced hard right to the wire only to get picked off by a very sharp back class horse who got a solid trip. Big play next time,  even at short odds.

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